International Workshop on Human Security and Climate Change
24 June 2005Holmen Fjord Hotel, near Oslo, Norway
June 21-23, 2005
Tuesday, June 21
19.00 Welcome Dinner
Wednesday, June 22
Opening session. Chair: Karen O’Brien
8.15-9.00 Coffee and Registration
9.00-9.30 Opening and Welcome Addresses
- Karen O’Brien, Co-chair of the workshop
- Åshild Mathisen, Ministry of the Environment
- Inger-Ann Ulstein, Research Council of Norway
9.30-10.15 Keynote Address: Andrew Dugmore, Have we been here before? Climate change and the contrasting fates of medieval human settlements in the Atlantic islands
10.15-11.30 Papers in Plenary.Chair: Nils Petter Gleditsch; Discussant: Chris Sear.
- Barnett and Adger: Security and Climate Change: Towards and Improved Understanding
- Murgida and Gonzalez: Security, Risk and Vulnerability in Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area
- Sharma, Patwardhan, and Parthasarathy: Adaptive Capacity to Climate Risk and Human Security
11.30 - 11.45 Break
11.45-13.00 Papers in Parallel Sessions
Parallel Session A. Chair: Hans Bohle; Discussant: Mike Brklacich.
- Kane: Hot Planet, Cold Wars: Climate Change and Ideological Conflict
- Dinda: Does Environment Link to Economic Growth?
- Busby: Who Cares About the Weather? Climate Change and U.S. National Security
Parallel Session B. Chair: Indra de Soysa; Discussant: Cullen Hendrix.
- Raleigh and Urdal: Environmental Change, Natural Resources and Armed Conflict
- Meier and Bond: The Influence of Climate Variability on Pastoral Conflict in the Horn of Africa
- Eriksen and Lind: The Impact of Conflict on Household Vulnerability to Climate Stress: Evidence from Turkana and Kutui Districts in Kenya
13.00-14.00 Lunch
14.00-15.30 Papers in Plenary. Chair: Mike Brklacich; Discussant: Indra de Soysa.
- Nordås and Gleditsch: Climate Change and Conflict: Some Plausible Scenarios
- Roberts: Climate Change and Potential Human Conflict: Western Cape Province, South Africa
- Nyong and Fiki: Drought-Related Conflicts, Management and Resolution in the West African Sahel
- Sindico: Ex-post and ex-ante approaches to climate change threats to the international community
15.30-16.00 Break
16.00-17.30 Papers in Parallel Sessions
Parallel Session A. Chair: Siri Eriksen; Discussant: Jon Barnett.
- Liotta and Shearer: The Use of Scenarios in Assessing Climate Change, Human Security, and Potential Outcomes
- Hendrix and Glaser: Climate Change, Resource Scarcity, and Civil War: Generating Predictive Models of Conflict Onset
- Babu, Prakash, Pattanaik, Puttaiah and Smashekar: Possible Enhanced Conflict Situations on Account of Climate Change and Water Sharing: A Case Study of Three States in India
Parallel Session B. Chair: Ragnhild Nordås; Discussant: Karen O’Brien.
- Nsiah-Gyabaah: Global Climate Change and Human Security: Regional Perspectives, Responses and Adaptations in Sub-Saharan Africa
- Fasona and Omojola: Climate Change, Human Security and Communal Clashes in Nigeria
- Wehbe, Eakin, Geyamonat: Macroeconomic Reforms and Agricultural Policies in Developing Countries: Impacts on Social Vulnerability of Familiar Agriculture Producers
- Park: Enhancing Security, Reducing Vulnerability: Climate Change and Financial Innovation
19.30 Dinner
Thursday, June 23
9.00-10.45 Papers in Plenary. Chair: Kwasi Nsiah-Gyabaah; Discussant: Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
- Reuveny: Environmental Change, Migration, and Conflict: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Exploration [Tables, References]
- McLeman and Smit: Assessing the Security Implications of Climate Change-related Migrations
- Obioha: Climate Change, Population Drift and Violent Conflict over Land Resources in North Eastern Nigeria
- Salehyan: Climate Change, Refugee Flows, and Regional Instability
10.45-11.15 Break
11.15-12.45 Papers in Parallel Sessions
Parallel Session A. Chair: Jon Barnett; Discussant: Hans Bohle.
- Acosta-Michlik, Klein, Kumar, Campe, and Eiderdanz: How Vulnerable is India to Climatic Stress? Measuring Vulnerability to Drought Using the Security Diagrams Concept
- Brklacich and Burhoe: Advancing our Understanding of Agriculture’s Vulnerability to Climate Change
- Brogaard and Seaquist: Primary Production Sensitivity to Climate Change Scenarios and Rural Livelihood Vulnerability, Inner Mongolia, Semi-arid China
- Patnaik and Narayanan: Vulnerability and Climate Change: An Analysis of the Eastern Coastal Districts of India
Parallel Session B. Chair: Geoffrey Dabelko; Discussant: Kwasi Nsiah-Gyabaah.
- Bogardi, Villagran de Leon, Birkmann, et al: Climate Change, a Hazard to Human Security
- Szlafsztein: Climate Change, Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Natural Hazards: A GIS- Based Vulnerability Assessment, State of Pará, Brazil
- Manuta and Lebel: Human Security and Climate Change: Governance of Flood Risks in Thailand
- Younus, Bedford, and Morad: Climate-Induced Flooding, Autonomous Adjustments and Human
Security in Bangladesh: A Geographical Assessment
13.00-14.00 Lunch
14.00-15.30 Papers in Plenary. Chair: Gunhild Hoogensen; Discussant: Patricia Kameri-Mbote.
- O’Brien and Leichenko: Climate Change, Equity, and Human Security
- Tsai and Lui: Interacting Effect between Global Climate Change and Disease Epidemic Deepens Vulnerability of Human Health and National Security around the World
- Penny: ‘Greening’ the Security Council: Climate Change as an Emerging ‘Threat to International Peace and
Security’ - Rothkin: International Fairness and Global Climate Change
15.30-16.00 Break
16.00-17.30 Papers in Parallel Sessions
Parallel Session A. Chair: Henrik Urdal; Discussant: TBA.
- Levy, Thorkelson, Vörösmarty, Douglas and Humphreys: Freshwater Anomalies and Outbreak of Internal War: Results from a Global Spatial Time Series Analysis
- Nanyunja and Nakamya: How Does Water Scarcity Directly or Indirectly Influence Conflict or Cooperation? A Case Study in Uganda
- Niasse: Coping with Increasing Climate Impacts as a Means of Diffusing Tensions around Shared Watercourses
Parallel Session B. Chair: Sara Brogaard; Discussant: Grete Hovelsrud Broda.
- Goulden: Adaptation to Climate Change Variability in East African Lakes and Wetlands: the Role of Social Capital in Promoting Resilience
- Eakin and Lemos: Globalization and the Adaptive Capacity of Nation-States: New Challenges and Opportunities
- Murray et al: Human-Climate Interactions and Human Security in the Arctic
- Gabrielsen and Hoogensen: The Notion of Human Security Applied to the Arctic Region
Concluding session. Chair: Nils Petter Gleditsch
17.30-18.00 Summary: Geoff Dabelko
18.00-18.10 Closing remarks: Nils Petter Gleditsch
20.00 Boat Trip along Oslo Fjord. Participants will be back at the hotel around 01:00; boat returns to Oslo around 02:00.